Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.001365 0.001452 0.001543 0.001643 0.001751 0.001864 0.001991
2024-11-03 0.001206 0.001322 0.001446 0.001588 0.001747 0.001920 0.002123
2024-11-10 0.001131 0.001270 0.001423 0.001603 0.001811 0.002044 0.002327
2024-11-17 0.001055 0.001208 0.001380 0.001588 0.001834 0.002118 0.002472
2024-11-24 0.001009 0.001175 0.001366 0.001602 0.001889 0.002226 0.002659
2024-12-01 0.000947 0.001119 0.001321 0.001574 0.001888 0.002266 0.002761
2024-12-08 0.000900 0.001078 0.001289 0.001560 0.001901 0.002320 0.002880
2024-12-15 0.000859 0.001042 0.001262 0.001548 0.001915 0.002374 0.003000
2024-12-22 0.000828 0.001016 0.001245 0.001548 0.001942 0.002444 0.003141
2024-12-29 0.000794 0.000984 0.001219 0.001534 0.001950 0.002488 0.003248
2025-01-05 0.000767 0.000960 0.001201 0.001529 0.001968 0.002545 0.003375
2025-01-12 0.000732 0.000924 0.001167 0.001501 0.001954 0.002557 0.003439
2025-01-19 0.000705 0.000900 0.001149 0.001496 0.001975 0.002625 0.003591
2025-01-26 0.000662 0.000853 0.001099 0.001447 0.001933 0.002602 0.003614
2025-02-02 0.000646 0.000841 0.001096 0.001460 0.001978 0.002702 0.003819
2025-02-09 0.000622 0.000816 0.001074 0.001447 0.001984 0.002746 0.003944
2025-02-16 0.000608 0.000806 0.001071 0.001459 0.002027 0.002847 0.004158
2025-02-23 0.000583 0.000778 0.001043 0.001434 0.002014 0.002862 0.004241
2025-03-02 0.000562 0.000757 0.001023 0.001421 0.002017 0.002902 0.004363
2025-03-09 0.000545 0.000739 0.001006 0.001411 0.002025 0.002947 0.004496
2025-03-16 0.000531 0.000725 0.000996 0.001411 0.002046 0.003015 0.004667
2025-03-23 0.000514 0.000707 0.000979 0.001398 0.002048 0.003052 0.004789
2025-03-30 0.000501 0.000694 0.000967 0.001394 0.002062 0.003108 0.004945